Following
the fall of the ruling Peoples Democratic Party in the March 28
presidential election, the party will automatically assume the role of
opposition at the centre as from May 29 when the All Progressives
Congress will assume power.
The 17-year old PDP will also be in
opposition in 23 other states controlled by either the APC or the All
Progressives Grand Alliance. The governorship elections in Abia, Imo and
Taraba are still outstanding. For now it is certain that the PDP will
be in power in 13 states, APC in 22 and APGA in one.
Analysts say
going by the outcome of the elections, the hitherto ruling party will
definitely not be the same again. The PDP, whose former national
chairman, Vincent Ogbulafor, as well as the outgoing first lady,
Patience Jonathan, had boasted will rule for 60 years, is already
witnessing mass defections across the land.
In the last three
weeks, many PDP faithful have dumped the party for the APC with several
others threatening to do so. In Ogun, Jigawa, Gombe, Edo, Kaduna and
Delta, the story is the same. For instance, in Ogun 1,237 PDP members
reportedly dumped the party. The outgoing deputy governor of Jigawa,
Ahmad Mahmud, the majority leader of Gombe State House of Assembly,
Mamman Alkali, PDP candidate in the 2012 Edo State governorship
election, Charles Aihiavbere, are some of the defectors.
With the
resounding defeat at the polls, there are calls by PDP members that the
party should be overhauled. Some have even demanded the resignation of
the leadership, notably the National Chairman, Adamu Mu’azu. Thus, in
the post May 29 era, the following are influential party chieftains who
have the charm, the resources and the staying power to rally party
members across the country and transform the party into a viable
opposition capable of dethroning the APC from power in subsequent
elections.
1.
Goodluck Jonathan: Arguably, Mr. Jonathan is
the greatest beneficiary of the party since its formation in 1998.
Though little known before he joined politics, Mr. Jonathan, 58, has
been a deputy governor in his home state, Bayelsa and later governor
between 1999 and 2007. He was elected vice president in 2007, became
acting president in 2010 and president from 2010 till date. He leaves
office on May 29, 2015. As president, Mr. Jonathan has been the leader
of the PDP since 2010.
However, under him the party’s popularity
nosedived. In 2013, for the first time in the party’s history, five
governors dumped the party for the opposition in one fell-swoop, a
development that compelled many to describe the president as being
politically naïve. Not many were surprised the way he was going anyway.
Out of power, beginning from May 29, Mr. Jonathan, who is likely to
retire to his village, Otuoke (in Bayelsa State) or Port Harcourt, where
he spent his adult life before going into politics, would remain a
member of the PDP. It is unthinkable that he would defect to another
party.
Therefore, he is expected to play a major role in
restructuring the party into a formidable opposition force. However,
playing this role may be difficult for the president as he might be busy
with international engagements. It is expected that by conceding defeat
the manner he did and presumably conducting credible elections,
international bodies might give him key assignments from time to time.
Mr. Jonathan will also be one of those with deep pockets to revamp the
soon-to-be-opposition party.
But there are those who believe that
Mr. Jonathan does not have the charisma and the political sagacity to
provide effective leadership for the party. However, in the absence of
ex-President Olusegun Obasanjo from the party, Mr. Jonathan will
definitely become the number one personality in the party. He is likely
to assume the position of chairman of the party’s Board of Trustees in
the months ahead.
2.
David Mark: He is the outgoing Senate
President. Mr. Mark, 67, is another beneficiary of the PDP structure.
Before the return of democracy, Mr. Mark, a retired army
brigadier-general, had been military governor of Niger State and
communications minister. He has been in the Senate on the platform of
the party since 1999. He chaired the Committee on Banking and Currency
in the Senate.
In 2007, he became the Senate President. He is
perceived to have performed creditably in that position. Since he
assumed office, stability has returned to the upper legislative chamber.
Mr. Mark, who won election for the fifth time in the March 28 election
to represent Benue South Senatorial District, has already given
indications that he would not leave the PDP. “I have heard by way of
rumour in the social media that I am decamping to APC. Social media is
awash with that. If I will be the last man standing I will remain in
PDP,” Mr. Mark said at a church service to mark his birthday earlier
this month.
“The rumour is just an unnecessary fabrication and I
even heard that one of the papers yesterday had it as headline. The
media men must please make sure they investigate cases before they begin
to publish it. Nobody has spoken to me from APC. I have no reasons
whatsoever to leave PDP, no reasons. I have risen to where I am on the
platform of PDP. PDP has a manifesto and I believe in it.”
Describing
those who are leaving the PDP as fair weather friends of the party, Mr.
Mark said, “When PDP bounces back in few years in the next couple of
elections or next election they will come back again to PDP.”
Clearly,
Mr. Mark has enormous resources that he could deploying in helping the
party get back on its feet. He has the charisma and is regarded as one
of the wisest men in the party told. He has in the recent past helped in
the resolving intra-party crisis and reconciling party members across
the country.
3.
Godswill Akpabio: He is the outgoing
governor of the oil-rich Akwa Ibom, a state he claimed to have
“uncommonly transformed”. The 53-year old Mr. Akbabio however became a
force to reckon with when he became Chairman of the PDP Governors’ Forum
in 2013. He recently won election to the Senate to represent Akwa Ibom
North West. Although he will be in the opposition in the upper
legislative chamber, Mr. Akpabio will certainly play a key role in
repositioning the PDP, especially the huge financial warchest he is
believed to have amassed over the years.
4.
Sule Lamido:
He is the outgoing governor of Jigawa State. Mr. Lamido was a founding
member of the PDP. He was a member of the G18 and 34, which fought the
self-succession plot of former Head of State, Sani Abacha. The G34 later
metamorphosed into the PDP. He contested the governorship election on
the party’s platform but lost. He was to serve as foreign minister in
the Olusegun Obasanjo administration between 1999 and 20003. He assumed
power as governor in 2007 after staying four years out of political
office. However, his party lost the state to the opposition APC both in
the recent presidential, governorship and legislative elections. It is
believed that Mr. Lamido, will be one of the rallying points of the PDP
in the post-Jonathan era.
However, some can bet that it will not
be so as his heart is allegedly in the opposition while his body remains
in the PDP. Those who hold this view may not be far from the truth. Mr.
Lamido was among the seven PDP governors who canvassed a new order in
the ruling party under its former chairman, Bamanga Tukur. The others
were Babangida Aliyu (Niger), Aliyu Wamakko (Sokoto), Abdulfatah Ahmed
(Kwara), Rabi;u Kwankwaso (Kano), Rotimi Amaechi (Rivers) and Murtala
Nyako (Adamawa), who was later impeached. However, when five of the G7
governors dumped the party in 2013 for the APC, Messrs Lamido and Aliyu
remained in the PDP. Mr. Lamido, 67, might be the PDP point man in the
North.
5.
Adamu Mu’azu: He is a former governor of Bauchi
State. He assumed duties as national chairman of the ruling party in
January 2014 when the party was in turbulence. Popularly called the
“game changer,” the fortunes of the party appear to have further dimmed
under him. For the first time in 16 years, the PDP lost woefully in a
general election. Under Mr. Mu’azu’s watch, the party lost the
presidential power to the APC in the March 28 election as well as
several PDP states in the north. It is on record that despite his boast
that the PDP would win 24 states in the governorship election, the party
lost its earlier strongholds, namely Jigawa, Katsina, Kebbi, Bauchi
(his home state), Benue, Plateau, Niger, and Adamawa. Although, there
are calls for his resignation, Mr. Mu’azu instead has been assuring that
the PDP would bounce back. “We are humbled by the 28th of March
decision of many Nigerians and promise never again to let you down. We
will reform our party,” he said. “We have learnt some very useful
lessons with the March 28th elections and we want to assure Nigerians
you will see a new PDP.”
6.
Liyel Imoke: Mr. Imoke, 54, is
the outgoing governor of Cross River. He was a senator in the botched
Third Republic. He has also benefited hugely from the PDP in this
dispensation. He had served as power minister in the Obasanjo
administration before becoming governor in 2007. Although many expect he
would remain relevant in the rebuilding process of the party, there are
those who believe his below average performance as governor may rob him
of the moral foundation to be a credible PDP salesperson.
7.
Olusegun Mimiko:
The Ondo State governor started out on the platform of the Alliance for
Democracy. He served as health commissioner in the state. He later
moved to the PDP and became SSG before he moved to the centre where he
served in the Obasanjo administration as Housing minister. However, he
defected to the Labour Party on whose platform he ran for governor in
2007. Although the PDP was declared winner of the election, the Court of
Appeal later ruled that it was Mr. Mimiko that won the election. The
governor, who is serving out his second term next year, has since
returned to the PDP. It is believed that his return to the PDP was in
anticipation of getting a federal appointment if the party returned to
power. Although, the APC won the presidential election in Ondo State,
Mr. Mimiko is likely to stick with the PDP and might play a key role in
reforming the party. He might be one of the key figures around which
party members in the Southwest could rally and seek direction.
8:
Ken Nnamani:
He was Senate President from 2005 to 2007. An indigene of Enugu, Mr.
Nnamani is currently the Chairman of the Governing Board of the
Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission. He is a respected PDP
member and could be the rallying point of the party, particularly in the
South East.
9.
Jide Omokore: He is a chieftain of the
PDP. He is businessman from Kogi State with interests in oil trading and
exploration, marine, haulage service, steel, dredging engineering and
property. Mr. Omokore had once been profiled by Forbes Magazine as “High
net-worth billionaires in Nigeria.” He once donated N50m to the Kogi
State Government as aid to victims of the flood disaster in 2012.
Although he is not known to have occupied any political office, he has
been of immense support to the ruling party. Mr. Omokore is tagged in
some quarters as a business front for some public officials but that
could not be proved at this time. He is one of the party’s most
consistent financials. It however remains to be seen whether he would
continue to fund the party now that it is in the opposition.
10.
Olusegun Obasanjo:
Like Mr. Jonathan, Mr. Obasanjo is one of the greatest beneficiaries of
the PDP machine. In 1998, he was brought out from prison where he was
serving jail term for alleged coup plotting and was elected president
the following year. Mr. Obasanjo ruled as a democratically-elected
president from 1999 to 2007. He had been military head of state from
1976 to 1979.
After he left power, he became Chairman of the PDP
Board of Trustees but quit the position in 2012 in order to “have a bit
more time to devote to the international demand on me.” He further said
resigning from the position would afford him more time “to give
attention to mentoring across the board nationally and internationally
in those areas that I have acquired some experience, expertise and in
which I have something to share.”
Mr. Obasanjo however shocked
many in February when he directed a fellow PDP man in Abeokuta to tear
his membership card thereby signalling his exit from the party. The
action was the peak of his anger with the party he was once led. Before
his membership card was torn, Mr. Obasanjo had virtually stopped
attending meetings of the ruling party apparently because of his grouse
with Mr. Jonathan who he once wrote a letter criticising his style of
governance. He is currently not a member of the PDP neither is he a
member of the APC, which at some point wooed him. However, there are
indications that he might return to the ruling party. After a meeting
with Mr. Jonathan at the time, the outgoing governor of Jigawa State,
Sule Lamido, had assured that PDP would beg Mr. Obasanjo to return to
the party.
“When a father is angry with his children, the
children should beg him. Baba is more than a party man. He is an icon, a
national symbol and a leader and inventor, a creator of all the
institutions today in Nigeria from the president to the governors, who
are his own sons, are all his creations.”
“And so when a father
is angry with his children, we will only say we are sorry to him. But
then, we cannot be renounced for whatever it is…….We might have made
some mistakes, but abandoning us is not the solution because the country
is first before anything else. So, he is our Baba even up to the
president.”
It is not clear however if the party has begged the
former president. Should he return to the PDP, Mr. Obasanjo will be one
of the rallying points in the quest to revamp the party ahead of future
polls.
Do you know of any other PDP leaders who are key in
strengthening the party as a viable opposition platform? Tell us your
nominees.
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